
My preference is to have the pair where they can mate when they like under supervision, and as soon the bitch says enough we know she has gone over.
As I said most of my bitches will not stand until well after ovulation so it then seems they have whelped early (if you count mating day), they are normally whelping between day 60 and 62 from mating which would mean they are being first mated 1 - 3 days after ovulation, which would tie in with the length of time they are willing to stand, some only standing for one or two days.
The most recent litter the bitch stood for five days and we had whelping 64 days after first, mating (maybe 63 if you took time difference into account), so she mated on or just prior to ovulation. Bitches consistently whelp +/- 1 day 63 days from ovulation.
This is why in my breed (who tend to have very natural mating behaviour) bitches appear to most often whelp early as they, or more often the stud dog will not mate early.
My mentor who bred successfully for over 50 years and often owning dogs in demand at stud, had bitches rarely missing to her males.
She liked bitches to come and stay, from as early as day 8 and introduce the bitch to the stud daily.
This served to familiarise the bitch with the dog, but also taught the males patience, just because there was an in season bitch presented didn't mean they could mate her as she likely would say no.
As the males soon learnt their lady Love would not be whisked away they bided their time, and as they became more experienced also tended to wait until the optimum conception time. This proved useful in the case of bitches that could not stay and had to visit with their owners, as the studs reaction soon told her whether the bitch was ready.
We perhaps rely to much on science, nature has always managed reproductive functions without too much interference, with us just needing to provide opportunity.
It is good to know what the processes are, but not to rely so much on artificial means of detecting them.
Bitches and dogs that do not act normally or whose reproductive cycles and behaviour are wildly out of kilter perhaps should not be bred from at all, as this may store up reproductive difficulties for the future.
I am sure breeds that now routinely need C sections didn't start off that way for example. Also why the Kennel Club has fairly rigid rules about the use of AI.