
That is quite right, buitches are actually very reliable at whelping + or - 1 day the same number of days after ovulation (can't remember how many days), the rest of the difference is down to mating being various days before or after ovulation.
Found this very interesting question and answer session with a repro specialist:
http://www.dobermann-review.com/info/breeding/canine_reproduction.htmquote: "The bitch's due date, 63 days from her ovulation date, the date she went above 5 nanograms progesterone. Breeding date has nothing to do with whelping date It's the OVULATION date. So if you know the day your bitch goes above 5 nanograms, you can set her due date at 63 days from that as her whelping date: set up your whelping box, take the day off work."
Thsi would account for why my bitches and most in our breed whelp in under 63 days as they tend not to stand (or males wait to mate) until after ovulation, in the two to 4 days after, when their eggs are ripe.