
Until you get a reading that actually shows ovulation has occurred it is only guess work as to when they are likely to reach that level.
For accurate mating dates for example when doing AI you need to take several tests, you need a pre ovulation reading and one after.
Some bitches can stick at pre ovulation levels so you definitely need a reading above ovulation concentrations.
Some dogs and bitches will happily mate early from just before ovulation. Some will only mate once th3e eggs are ripe, at two days past ovulation, when they remain viable for about two days.
Her previous whelping date would suggest she is a bitch that mates tail end of the fertile period, as most bitches whelp 62+/- a day from Ovulation.